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Gary Gramling

NCAA Tournament: The Number 1 Seed Who Will Fall Short 80

  • March Madness
  • Posted by: Gary Gramling
  • March 18, 2010, 11:20 AM


There's been a lot of talk this season about how there's no "one dominant team" like North Carolina last season. And I agree with that. There are four dominant teams.

While it's hard to pick a favorite among the four Number 1 seeds in this year's Tournament, I think there's a clear gap between the top four and the rest of college basketball. That's why it's tough to not pick all four top seeds to make the Final Four... with the exception of one Number 1: Duke.

Don't get me wrong, Duke is a great team, clearly worthy of a Number 1 seed. And they have maybe the weakest region in Tournament history to play against. But there are two major red flags that have me dropping Duke out of my bracket before the Final Four.

First is there performance on the road. Record away from home is a good indicator for success in March, because there are no more home games.

Duke won all seven of their "neutral court" games. But three of those were in New York, where they play most years, and three more were in Greensboro, North Carolina for the ACC Tournament, against out of state teams (meaning they were pretty darn close to home games). Of those seven wins, only two (Gonzaga in New York and Georgia Tech in Greensboro) were against NCAA Tournament teams.

Now for the really bad news: Duke was just 5-5 in true road games this year, including 1-4 against NCAA Tournament teams (a win at Clemson, losses at Wisconsin, Georgia Tech, Georgetown, and Maryland). Like I said, there are no "home games" in the Tournament, but Duke might have to play 5th-seeded Texas A&M and/or 3rd-seeded Baylor in Houston, giving both those teams a home-state advantage. There will be a hostile crowd rooting against the Dukies. And that's why I think the Blue Devils will be watching the Final Four from home this year.

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80 Comments

Michigan St. will get knocked off as #1 seed.

ouch. Duke won it all. I had Kentucky winning the tournament, John Wall and Eric Bledsoe, try to find a better freshmen backcourt. Plus Demarcus Cousins and Patrick Patterson in the front-court. But West Virginia got in the way.

Whether your bracket is busted or not, you have to admit the upsets are making this March intresting.

my final four had kansas kentucky,pittsburgh,duke! what a horrible final four!

i know west virginia can win it all! Desean Butler is going to be the MVP

I Hate Duke And They Are Overrated.Butler is pretty good.Desean Butler for West Virginia is their key.

i cant see duke

Duke is going all the way!

Right you are!!!

Duke is going all the way!

I had a horible bracket. I had Georgetown, Villanova, Kansas State, and Kentucky. WHAT HAPPENED TO THE HOYAS??????????????????????

GO BUTLER

Finally! Someone agrees with me!

I have duke losing to villanova in my bracket, but the wiz was way off because duke happens to be the only no. 1 seeded team in the final 4

GOOOOO DUUUUKE

i think the cinderella to win will be butler.

duke & kansas stink.

Oh Yeah! Butler ALL THE WAY!

SYRACUSE!!! I knew Kansas would choke but my boys lost to BUTLER???

'Cuse was overrated! Butler comepletely outplayed them

Kentucky is to young

Man forget Syracuse it was all about Kentuky

I agree with FastKungfu. Duke is currently the only #1 seed left and Baylor should be easy.

kentucky, kansas, and syracuse lost. duke is the only #1 seed left.
SO MUCH FOR DUKE LOSING FIRST!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! OH YEAH!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! :D

Duke should not even be a 1 seed WVU should have been a one seed. Being a 1 seed is the only reason Duke is in the Elite Eight.

Duke is going to win the whole thing. Period.

I go with ChickenBlater3

Dude basketballpirate the men in orange were defeated

Can somebody here say they like The dukies cause i do

first off the big three(sheyer singler smith) dominated the tournament and if
one of them has a bad game duke has two more and with zoubeck getting rebounds
duke was unstopable and last but not least GO DUKE!!

I liked them okay after the Badgers beat them. WE BEAT THE CHAMPS!

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